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15 Oct Weather in Cayman & Tropical Report, 1 Dist

 

15 Oct Mon 2018

Tropical Report

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are showing
some signs of organization. The system is moving west-northwestward,
and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before
it moves inland over Central America by Tuesday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash
flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Tara, located just off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop a couple of hundred
miles south of Guatemala and the southeastern coast of Mexico
around mid-week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late week while the system moves west-northwestward near the
southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Tara are issued under WMO header
WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Tara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Stewart

 

Global Tropics & Benefits Outlook

Weather in Cayman

SYNOPSIS

 

Moderate to fresh winds and seas are expected to continue across the Cayman area for the next 24 hours as the ridge of high pressure builds over the northern Caribbean. Isolated showers are expected tomorrow as an area of low pressure over the southwest Caribbean slowly drifts west to northwest over Nicaragua. Radar images show isolated showers in and around the Cayman area drifting towards the west.

 

Humidity: 82%  (DOWN from yesterday)

UV: 10.4   VERY HIGH  (UP from yesterday)

Temperature: Today’s current temperature –   See weather forecast top right of website.  Yesterday: H 90.0°F  L 78.4°F

Wind direction TODAY: ESE 20-30 mph

Wind direction TONIGHT: ESE 10-20 mph

Barometer: 1012.90 mb Steady  Rain:   Last month: 12.21 in    Last 24 hrs 0.00  This month:  2.04 in   2 days since rain  8 rain days in October

2017 Season Total:  62.94 in      2018 : 38.26 in

Average Yearly Rainfall 56.20 in (Note: National Weather Service 2017 – measured at Owen Roberts Airport GT – was 59.32 in)

All readings are from SOUTH SOUND.

Average rainfall in October 9.2 in.  Average temperature in October: 77°F to 88°F

in October: 84°F

 

MOON:

 38% Illuminated Waxing Crescent

 

 

 

TIDES, SUNRISE, SUNSET, MOON RISE, MOON SET AND MOON PHASE

GRAND CAYMAN OCTOBER 2018 – Click to enlarge

LOCAL 5 DAY FORECAST

Moon info and graphic:

https://www.timeanddate.com/moon/uk/georgetown

Atlantic satellite image: http://www.intellicast.com/global/satellite/infrared.aspx?region=hiatlsat

Description:
The Global Infrared Satellite image shows clouds by their temperature. Red and blue areas indicate cold (high) cloud tops. Infrared (IR) radiation is electromagnetic radiation whose wavelength is longer than that of visible light, but shorter than that of terahertz radiation and microwaves. Weather satellites equipped with scanning radiometers produce thermal or infrared images which can then enable a trained analyst to determine cloud heights and types, to calculate land and surface water temperatures, and to locate ocean surface features.

Tropical storm data and graphics from National Hurricane Center at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Weathernerds: https://www.weathernerds.org/

: http://www.spaghettimodels.com/

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