Tropical Report

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Early morning satellite images indicate that the cloud pattern
associated with the low pressure system located about 800 miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has not changed very
much in organization. Environmental conditions, however, are
favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form
within the next 24 hours or so while the low moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Forecaster Avila

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jul 4 2017

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located about 500 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continue to show signs of organization.
This system has the potential to become a tropical depression
later today or tomorrow before it reaches colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico.
Although shower activity remains disorganized, environmental
conditions are forecast to be favorable for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the
disturbance moves westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

3. A third area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern
North Pacific, a few hundred miles south of the coast of El
Salvador. Some development of this system is possible late this
week or this weekend while it moves westward to west-northwestward
well south of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

Weather In Cayman

Synopsis

Isolated showers are expected across the Cayman area as an upper level trough begins to interact with a tropical wave this afternoon over the Northwest Caribbean. Radar images show isolated and scattered showers south of the Cayman area moving towards the west to northwest.