A Hurricane Warning means Hurricane conditions are likely within the next 36 hours.

Issued: Wednesday 3 July 2024 – 6:00 AM

CURRENT STORM INFO:

As of 4:00 AM, Hurricane Beryl was located at 16.6°N, 74.4°W, approximately 485 miles ESE of Grand Cayman. The hurricane is exhibiting maximum sustained winds of 145 mph and is moving WNW at a speed of 20 mph. The minimum central pressure recorded is 946 mb (27.94 inches).

BASED ON LATEST FORECAST TRACK

Projected onset of Tropical Storm force winds:

• Cayman Brac: Wednesday 3 July, at 9:30 PM 
• Little Cayman: Wednesday 3 July, at 10:00 PM
• Grand Cayman: Thursday 4 July, at 12:30 AM

Closest point of approach: 

• Grand Cayman: The center will pass 69 miles south at approximately 4:30 AM on Thursday, 4 July.
• Little Cayman: The center will pass 112 miles south at approximately 1:00 AM on Thursday, 4 July.
• Cayman Brac: The center will pass 117 miles south at approximately 12:00 AM on Thursday, 4 July.

End of Tropical Storm force winds: 

• Cayman Brac: Thursday 4 July, at 5:00 AM
• Little Cayman: Thursday 4 July, at 6:00 AM
• Grand Cayman: Thursday 4 July, at 11:00 AM

IF THE STORM CONTINUES ON ITS LATEST FORECAST TRACK

Expected weather conditions for the Cayman Islands:

Grand Cayman: 

Overcast skies with widespread thunderstorms are anticipated starting Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected by early Thursday morning as Hurricane Beryl makes its closest approach to the Cayman Islands and begin to subside by early afternoon tomorrow. Widespread flooding is anticipated with the risk reducing by evening as Hurricane Beryl moves away from the Cayman area. Extremely rough seas, significant swells, and some storm surge is expected to peak around Thursday morning and begin to subside by Thursday evening. Rough seas are still expected through Friday.

Sister Islands: 

Similar conditions of overcast skies and widespread thunderstorms are expected from Wednesday evening through Thursday evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected from late Wednesday night and should begin to subside by Thursday morning. Some flooding is anticipated with the risk reducing from Thursday evening. Extremely rough seas, significant swells, and some storm surge is expected to peak around early Thursday morning and begin to subside by Thursday afternoon. Rough seas are still expected through Friday.

WARNINGS

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

Estimated Daily Rainfall:

Grand Cayman

• Wednesday, 3 July: 10 to 15 mm (approximately 0.5 to 0.7 inches) with a potential for localized rainfall of 1-2 Inches.
• Thursday, 4 July: 50 to 100 mm (approximately 2 to 4 inches) with a potential for localized rainfall of 6 Inches. 
• Friday, 5 July: 5 to 10 mm (approximately 0.2 to 0.4 inches)

Sister Islands

• Wednesday, 3 July: 10 to 15 mm (approximately 0.5 to 0.7 inches) with a potential for localized rainfall of 1-2 Inches.
• Thursday, 4 July: 15 to 40 mm (approximately 0.7 to 1.5 inches) with a potential for localized rainfall of 2 Inches.
• Friday, 5 July: 5 to 10 mm (approximately 0.2 to 0.4 inches)

GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS

Estimated Wind direction and Speeds – (Beginning Wednesday night)

Grand Cayman

• Wednesday Night: NE at 20 to 25 knots (23 to 29 mph)
• Thursday Morning: E to SE at 40 to 50 knots (50 to 60 mph) with higher gusts
• Friday Morning: SE at 10 to 15 knots (11 to 15 mph)

Sister Islands

• Wednesday Night: NE at 20 to 25 knots (23 to 29 mph)
• Thursday Morning: E to SE at 35 to 40 knots (45 to 50 mph) with higher gusts
• Friday Morning: SE at 10 to 15 knots (11 to 15 mph)

A MARINE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ALL MARINE VESSELS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK AND REMAIN IN SAFE HARBOR UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

Estimated Wave Heights

• Wednesday, 3 July: Waves reaching 6 to 9 feet by evening.

• Thursday, 4 July: Waves of 10 to 15 feet accompanied by a storm surge of 2 to 4 feet, particularly along the south coasts.
• Friday, 5 July: Waves of 5 to 7 feet with swells, mainly along the south coasts.

THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED AT 4:30 PM ON WEDNESDAY, 3 JULY 2024.