The most annoying problem in computing is still unsolved
By Kevin RooseFollow From New York Mag
When I travel these days, I tend to look like a walking Radio Shack – cords bursting out of my pockets, bag overflowing with chargers and accessories. Partly, this is my own fault – as a tech writer, I carry around more gadgets than I strictly need. But most of the blame goes to the batteries in my iPhone and iPad, which run out so quickly that I’m forced to carry around not one, but two external battery packs to get me through a normal day of use.
These days, the gadgets we carry are improving with frightening speed – each year bringing a cavalcade of new features, capabilities, and improved hardware. But the power sources that run those gadgets seem to be stuck in about 2007. We know that the world is going device-crazy, with mobile internet use expected to surpass PC use by next year, and a whole new category of wearable devices (led by smart watches) on the way. So why are batteries still so terrible?
The answer seems to be one of relative rather than absolute performance: That is, batteries are getting better, but we don’t notice the changes because our gadgets are demanding more power than ever.
Think of it this way: Moore’s law, the most famous theory in modern computing, posits that microprocessors roughly double in computing power every two years. But there’s no Moore’s law for batteries – in part because there’s a physical limit to the amount of power you can pack into a battery. It’s easy to make a computer chip smaller; it’s almost impossible to make a battery more dense than the ones we’re making today. The result is that battery technology improves slowly; as the graph below shows, there wasn’t a huge amount of progress until 1992, when Sony introduced the lithium-ion battery, at which point density jumped, and has remained on a steady upward slope since. (The red line is a projection of what battery makers hope will happen by 2017.)
Meanwhile, the devices we carry are getting more vampiric – with web browsing, Bluetooth connectivity, and power-hungry apps all sucking out battery life at an unprecedented pace. Processing power is growing exponentially, while battery power is only growing linearly. Combined with our desire for ever-thinner devices, this produces the illusion that batteries are actually getting worse. So, despite the gains of recent years, here’s how most people see their phone batteries:
Graph: Graphjam.com
Surveys have shown that people covet longer battery life more than any other smartphone feature. So where’s the solution?
There are two basic approaches to improving battery life on mobile devices. The first is to use the batteries we already have more efficiently, by reducing the amount of power needed to run apps, make calls, and stay connected to data networks. The second is to change the type of battery altogether.
But there’s only so much Google, or any other software manufacturer, can do to fix the battery life problem. Energy inefficiency is everywhere – not just in the operating systems we use, but in the antennas that connect our phones to carrier networks, in the apps we run, and, actually, in the internet itself. In a 2012 paper [PDF], Stanford researchers found that many popular websites such as Wikipedia, Apple.com, and YouTube are extremely energy-inefficient due to the way they render elements like JavaScript and images. (By rebuilding the Wikipedia mobile site to optimize its energy use, the researchers were able to reduce the site’s battery drainage by 30 percent, with no change to the user experience.) If you wanted to truly wring the most out of existing battery technology, you’d have to repeat this process for every website and app in the world.
The second approach to battery improvement is to switch the type of battery altogether. Researchers are working on this, too, under the assumption that only substantial technical advances will truly give us the all-day (or even multi-day or multi-week) battery life we yearn for, while keeping our devices as slim as we want them.
One of the more promising new battery technologies is graphene, a strong, thin, conductive material that is formed by bonding together a single layer of carbon atoms. Last year, when researchers at Vanderbilt covered a silicon super-capacitator in graphene, they found that it was possible to make a kind of super-battery that would recharge in seconds, and last for weeks before needing to be plugged in. These super-capacitators aren’t ready to be put into iPhones yet – engineers are still trying to make them smaller and denser – but they’re out there on the horizon.
Another, more immediately feasible option is a new kind of lithium-ion battery, developed by USC researchers and expected to hit the market in 2015 or 2016, that uses silicon nanotubes instead of the graphite found in traditional batteries. The result is a battery that has three times as much capacity as a normal lithium-ion, and charges in just ten minutes. One Silicon Valley start-up, Amprius, has raised $30 million to mass-produce a similar kind of battery for testing by companies like Nokia.
Other researchers are placing hopes in cheap fuel cells powered by methanol or hydrogen, which could be swapped in to your smartphone when the old one runs out, or on all-graphene batteries that absorb thermal energy from the earth and never need to be charged at all.
Whichever new, futuristic battery makes it to market first, it seems certain that help is on the way. More likely than not, Google’s Project Volta and similar software-based projects will simply be stopgap measures until the hardware revolution arrives in a year or two, once battery makers have had time to get their products tested, manufactured, and approved by regulators and safety inspectors. The iPhone 6 probably won’t have a vastly longer battery life than the iPhone 5S, but the iPhone 7 and 8 almost certainly will. (As physicist Fred Schlachter puts it, “Significant improvement in battery capacity can only be made by changing to a different chemistry.”) And cheaper, better batteries may help more than just smartphones – as a 2012 McKinsey publication pointed out, next-generation technology is coming to car batteries, too, with the price of automotive battery kits expected to fall by more than 50 percent by the year 2020.
Until better batteries arrive, my best bet is probably to switch to an Android device and carry around an external battery pack or two. (Apple’s latest OS has a power-monitoring feature, but, sadly, no Project Volta–like efficiency mode.) But frankly, I wish the battery designers would hurry up with their futuristic breakthroughs. I’m sick of needing to stuff my pockets with batteries before leaving the house, or else risk losing my digital lifeline halfway through lunch. In today’s mediocre battery world, with not-so-great power come great responsibilities.
For more on this story go to: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/07/most-annoying-problem-in-computing.html?om_rid=AACMTw&om_mid=_BTuvZUB87E–YL