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AOML leads research across Caribbean to improve bleaching predictions

cheeca_bleachedpolypsFrom Atlantic oceanographic & Meteorological Laboratory

For the third time in recorded history, a massive coral bleaching event is unfolding throughout the world’s oceans, stretching from the Indian Ocean to the Caribbean. Above average sea surface temperatures exacerbated by a strong El Niño could result in the planet losing up to 4,500 square miles of coral this year alone, according to NOAA. The global event is predicted to continue to impact reefs into the spring of 2016.

Across the Caribbean region, AOML scientists are conducting multi-disciplinary research projects in an effort to monitor the extent of bleaching, measure specific indicators of resilience, and improve bleaching prediction capabilities. This ongoing research encompasses multiple levels of the reef ecosystem, from the community level down to the microorganism level, with the goal of providing predictive insight to help inform reef managers and to support coral reef conservation efforts.
Refining the scope of bleaching forecasts

cheeca_bleaching2015In the Cayman Islands, researchers are measuring water temperatures at a series of depths on coral reefs around Little Cayman to improve estimates of water temperature in regional bleaching models. These models currently rely heavily on global satellite measurements of sea surface temperatures, which are used as a proxy to represent temperatures below the surface where corals reside. There is great variability between surface and subsurface water temperatures depending on local oceanographic conditions. The temperature data collected from the sites at Little Cayman will be compared to data from a nearby established monitoring buoy to provide more precise temperature comparisons across different reef environments. This insight can be used to refine the scope of NOAA’s bleaching forecasts from region-wide to reef-specific, allowing coral reef managers to better target monitoring and recovery efforts.
Monitoring bleaching impacts along the Florida reef tract

cheeca_reneedivingIn the Florida Keys, offshore reefs have deteriorated dramatically since the late 1970s, while inshore reefs have remained resilient and continue
to maintain high coral cover. Ongoing field studies are leveraging the
current bleaching event to determine why inshore reefs appear
more resilient. Scientists will continue to monitor the impact of this severe bleaching event to determine the extent of coral mortality and to isolate factors that may serve as indicators for future bleaching events.

Along the Florida reef tract, researchers deployed pH, temperature, and light sensors at coral reef sites both near and offshore to measure the extent of bleaching impacts. By photographing these reefs with high-resolution cameras, scientists are creating photo mosaics that will allow them to more accurately document community-wide changes in reef health.

How do Florida reefs compare to other reefs in the region?

Other locally driven stressors along the Florida reef tract, including sediment from coastal construction, pollution from land-based nutrients and fertilizers, physical damage from divers and boaters, and overfishing, all further impact reefs by compounding the stress from global changes, such as warming oceans and ocean acidification. To separate the effects of local anthropogenic stressors from global changes, AOML researchers along with scientists from the Central Caribbean Marine Institute are monitoring the pristine reefs found along Little Cayman. Experiments at this site are designed to contrast populated coastal reefs and determine why reefs around this remote island are thriving despite widespread bleaching across the region.

What makes Little Cayman’s reefs special?

With an estimated population of 150 people, Little Cayman lacks a significant human presence. Combined with the island’s relative isolation and protection from overfishing and coastal pollution mean corals thrive. On-going studies of the reefs surrounding Little Cayman are designed to document globally driven changes to the reef ecosystem, from studies of specific species to ecosystem-wide shifts. Established monitoring sites equipped with data-collecting buoys have provided researchers with a baseline of environmental data at key coral reef sites around the island before the most recent mass bleaching. Current studies will observe environmental conditions at Little Cayman, and samples of coral polyp tissue will correlate changes at the organism and microorganism level, with a goal of noting specific changes that allow these corals to become more resilient. Resulting insight could be adapted to help inform protection plans for vulnerable coral reef ecosystems in other parts of the world.

Genetic sampling to predict resilience

At Little Cayman, as well as at sites along the Florida reef tract, researchers are concentrating at even smaller scales to explain differences in coral susceptibility and resilience to bleaching. With a focus on two species of rare and endangered coral, scientists are collecting and studying tissue from individual coral polyps. The goal is to identify the genetic makeup of the polyp’s ‘microbiome’, the consortium of algae, bacteria, viruses, and fungi, all living in a dynamic equilibrium with the coral animal. The differences in the genetic makeup within these microbiomes can be used as a key indicator of adaptations in specific corals over time. This genetic variability may explain how some corals survive exposure to a variety of stressors, including warmer ocean temperatures.

Can genetic sampling predict a coral’s response to bleaching?

When faced with changing environmental conditions, the microbiome community is the most genetically adaptable part of the coral. A coral’s resilience to ocean warming depends on the combined response of its microbiome. By sequencing DNA associated with these microbiome communities before, during, and after the current bleaching event, researchers hope to identify changes in specific genes associated with bleaching. Managers can apply this understanding to monitoring programs, looking for these genetic changes as a predictive marker for potential bleaching. Additionally, identifying specific microbiome combinations that are more resilient than others may inform efforts of reef-rebuilding organizations as they select species to grow in nurseries and identify reef locations to outplant corals.

Coupling the insights on the diversity of corals and the diversity of their microbes with bleaching forecast models can also provide valuable guidance to reef managers’ mitigation activities. Using a similar approach to select corals more resilient to high levels of nutrients, such as nitrates and phosphates, may eventually help provide stability to coral reefs threatened by land-based sources of pollution.

‘The research being done to characterize these communities can eventually assist reef managers and coral conservation groups by providing them with information to help choose the best species and regions to focus their efforts,” says AOML coral ecologist Jim Hendee. “Today’s corals have a lot to contend with, and we want to give managers every possible advantage to succeed in preserving and maintaining these valuable ecosystems.”

This research is a multi-institutional effort conducted by NOAA, the University of Miami’s Cooperative Institute for Marine & Atmospheric Studies, the Central Caribbean Marine Institute’s Little Cayman Research Centre, Nova Southeastern University’s National Coral Reef Institute, the University of Wisconsin, and the Smithsonian Institution.

IMAGES:
Coral colonies at Cheeca Rocks in the Florida Keys show evidence of bleaching. Image credit: NOAA
An AOML coral researcher uses a photo mosaic to locate a bleached coral head on a reef in the Florida Keys. Image credit: NOAA
Genetic sampling done by AOML researchers will help reef managers identify coral species that are more resilient to bleaching and other stressors, such as high levels of nutrients. Image credit: NOAA

SOURCE: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/keynotes_1015_coralbleachingresearch.html

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