Over the last few issues, we have discussed the possibility of developments in the western Caribbean. The developments would happen due to a large high pressure system pushing eastward across New England. We will need to watch the south of that high-pressure system for tropical development.

Rob Lightbown writes, “The latest GFS model guidance is forecasting low pressure to develop in the western Caribbean right around Monday or Tuesday of next week and forecasts this system to slowly develop as it tracks slowly northward from the western Caribbean into the southern Gulf of Mexico by about September 26. The European model is not very keen on the idea of tropical development next week and actually forecasts development in the eastern Pacific instead in about 9 to 10 days from now.”

The global model guidance is also forecasting the potential for a low-pressure system to develop just off of the North Carolina coast next week. The combination of both this low-pressure system and the high-pressure system from New England is going to provide the right conditions for producing large swells off the southeastern coast of the US.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Maria is expected to turn northeast today after drenching Bermuda in heavy rain and tropical storm force winds yesterday. She is expected to affect eastern and southeastern Newfoundland by Friday if it stays on the northeastern track it is currently on.

Go to Crown Weather Services at www.crownweather.com or to the National Hurricane Centre at www.nhc.noaa.gov/ for more information. iNews wishes to thank Crown Weather for their permission to use their graphics and information. Please support them.